Successfully investing in Türkiye

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​​​​​​last updated on 3 July 2025​​ | reading time approx. 4 minutes

 

    

   

How do you assess the current economic situation in Türkiye?

The Turkish economy continues to follow a complex trajectory, shaped by high inflation, a volatile currency, and a consumption-driven, youthful population. Despite these challenges, economic growth remains resilient. 

In April 2024, inflation reached a new peak of 69.8 per cent year-on-year. In response, Turkish Central Bank raised the policy rate from 45 per cent to 50 per cent. Since late 2024, a gradual easing cycle has been initiated, bringing the benchmark interest rate down to 46 per cent as of May 2025. According to the Central Bank’s latest projections, the inflation rate is expected to fall to 24 per cent by the end of 2025, followed by a further decrease to 12 per cent in 2026 and 8 per cent in 2027.

Despite monetary tightening and ongoing economic uncertainties, Türkiye’s gross domestic product (GDP) has shown steady growth: from 905.5 billion US dollar in 2022 to 1.118 trillion US dollar in 2023. Growth is projected at 3.5 per cent for 2024 and 2.8 per cent for 2025.

The Turkish Lira remains volatile but depreciated by only around 18 per cent against the US dollar in 2024. A year-end exchange rate of approximately 44 Turkish Lira / US dollar is projected for 2025.

Since 2024, Türkiye’s economic policy stance has increasingly aligned with conventional principles. Interest rate hikes, tax adjustments, and a more cautious fiscal approach aim to curb inflation. At the same time, private consumption remains a key driver, while exports and tourism continue to serve as central pillars of growth.

  

How would you describe the investment climate in Türkiye? Which sectors offer the largest potential?

Despite ongoing economic challenges, Türkiye continues to attract strong interest from international investors. While the country faces high inflation, currency volatility, and geopolitical uncertainties, it also offers a range of structural advantages that make it an appealing investment destination. These include its strategically favorable location at the crossroads of Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, a young and dynamic population, and a large domestic market of over 85 million consumers.

Since 2024, the Turkish government has pursued a reoriented economic policy aimed at achieving macroeconomic stability. Key measures include targeted tax reforms and comprehensive investment incentives, particularly in economically underdeveloped regions. Foreign direct investment is supported through tax breaks, customs exemptions, favorable loan conditions, and infrastructure development. In addition, regulatory barriers to business formation/establishment and investment have been gradually reduced in recent years.

Several forward-looking sectors offer significant potential. The automotive and supplier industries are major export drivers, benefiting from international partnerships and a well-developed manufacturing infrastructure. Mechanical engineering and electrical technology are among the fastest-growing industrial sectors, offering opportunities for technology and knowledge transfer.

Renewable energy is another strategic focus: Türkiye possesses substantial potential for solar, wind, and geothermal projects and has set ambitious targets to reduce its reliance on fossil fuel imports. Agriculture and agri-tech are also gaining importance, driven by increasing technological integration and the growing demand for sustainable production.
  

What challenges do German companies face during their business ventures into Türkiye?

German companies seeking to invest or conduct business in Türkiye face a range of specific challenges. One of the key tasks is establishing trustworthy, long-term partnerships – an aspect of particular importance in Turkish business culture. Entering the market also requires a solid understanding of the local legal and tax frameworks, which in some cases differ significantly from European standards.

Another critical factor is the strategic evaluation of the numerous government support programs, especially those targeting manufacturing firms and start-ups. While these programs offer attractive incentives, they require careful analysis and planning. Flexibility and adaptability are essential, as Türkiye’s economic environment is highly dynamic and demands swift corporate responses. Language and cultural differences can pose additional barriers, making intercultural competence and local expertise crucial success factors. Early and professional advisory support is therefore strongly recommended.

Persistently high inflation and the significant depreciation of the Turkish Lira against foreign currencies present particular challenges for companies focused on the domestic market. The Turkish government is addressing these issues through structural measures aimed at curbing inflation and stabilizing the currency. Notably, the exchange rate has shown a more moderate trajectory compared to inflation – an indication of emerging stabilization trends.

In the wake of the pandemic, many companies have re-evaluated their business models, placing greater emphasis on innovation and strategic realignment. This includes increasing local value creation to reduce dependency on global supply chains.

Economic fluctuations in recent years, combined with multiple minimum wage increases, have led to a noticeable rise in labor costs. Many companies have had to adjust salary structures and introduce additional benefits to retain qualified personnel.

Although Türkiye, as a non-EU member, is not directly subject to the German Supply Chain Due Diligence Act or ESG regulations, these frameworks are increasingly affecting subsidiaries and suppliers indirectly. Companies are therefore well advised to implement sustainable and responsible business practices in Türkiye as well, in order to meet international standards.
  

How does Türkiye promote sustainable economic growth through adaptability and strategic advantages?​

In recent years, Türkiye has demonstrated remarkable adaptability. Through swift economic policy measures, structural reforms, and increasing digitalization, the country has shown resilience in responding to global challenges. The ongoing integration of digital technologies into public administration and the workplace is strengthening long-term competitiveness.

A key driver of success remains the country’s large pool of young, skilled, and competitive labor. This is complemented by a well-developed infrastructure and Türkiye’s geostrategic location at the intersection of Europe, Asia, and the Middle East – an important advantage for trade and manufacturing.

Moreover, the Turkish government is increasingly investing in regional production and manufacturing industries, as well as in the energy and environmental sectors. The expansion of sustainable and renewable energy sources in particular highlights the country’s long-term commitment to building a future-oriented, resilient economy. These developments provide a solid foundation for sustainable growth and offer companies a wide range of opportunities in a rapidly evolving market environment.

  

In your opinion, how will Türkiye develop?

Its adaptability, combined with continued economic growth, supports a fundamentally positive outlook for the coming years. In the medium to long term, companies can expect favorable opportunities – driven by solid growth rates in international comparison, a young and well-educated population, and a strong entrepreneurial spirit.

To stabilize the economic framework, the government has introduced a series of policy packages, including measures to cushion exchange rate losses and curb inflation. Early signs of stabilization became evident in the first quarter of 2024, particularly through a notably steady exchange rate trend since March.

Türkiye’s economic prospects remain promising: if inflation is successfully contained, current account deficits are reduced, and investor confidence is strengthened, the country could experience robust growth in the years ahead. The government is increasingly pursuing a structural policy agenda focused on sustainable development and regional value creation.

Another key advantage lies in the country’s pronounced crisis resilience. Experiences from past economic and geopolitical crises have enhanced the adaptability of both public institutions and the population – an often underestimated competitive edge in the international context.

As an economic and geopolitical bridge between East and West, Türkiye remains a competitive and strategically important partner – both for European companies and for global trade.​

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